Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (0.5 vs 2.1 takedowns per 15) and a volume gap (5.6 vs 3.7 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 8 vs 1 five-round fights
| Attribute | Procházka | Teixeira |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 42 |
| Height | 6′3″ | 6′2″ |
| Reach | 80″ | 76″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | #2 Light Heavyweight | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Teixeira has 8 archived five-round fights to Procházka’s 1; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors TeixeiraProcházka holds a 4-inch reach edge (80" to 76"); Teixeira has to cross distance to land.
Favors ProcházkaProcházka lands 5.6 significant strikes per minute to Teixeira’s 3.7: a real volume gap.
Favors ProcházkaWatch the first takedown attempt from Teixeira: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Teixeira keeps landing takedowns at 2.1 per 15 minutes; if Procházka stays upright, the striking rates (5.6 vs 3.7 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.