Durability: Oliveira finished 8× on record
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (2.7 vs 0.1 takedowns per 15); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 11 vs 1 five-round fights
| Attribute | Nunes | Aldana |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 35 | 35 |
| Height | 5′8″ | 5′9″ |
| Reach | 69″ | 68″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Nunes has 11 archived five-round fights to Aldana’s 1; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors NunesNunes averages 2.7 takedowns per 15 minutes; Aldana has stopped 77% of attempts on record.
Favors AldanaNunes has been finished 2 times in the archive and absorbs 2.6 strikes per minute; Aldana has never been stopped in the stored record.
Favors AldanaAldana has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Nunes keeps landing takedowns at 2.7 per 15 minutes; if Aldana stays upright, the striking rates (4.5 vs 5.2 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
