Pace: 6.2 vs 4.4 landed / min
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Volume against volume: 5.6 and 6.6 significant strikes per minute. Defense and accuracy, not output, separate them.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 4 vs 1 five-round fights
| Attribute | Procházka | Ulberg |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 33 | 35 |
| Height | 6′3″ | 6′4″ |
| Reach | 80″ | 77″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | #2 Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight Champion |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Procházka has 4 archived five-round fights to Ulberg’s 1; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors ProcházkaProcházka holds a 3-inch reach edge (80" to 77"); Ulberg has to cross distance to land.
Favors ProcházkaProcházka has finished 100% of archived wins (5 KO/TKO, 1 submission).
Favors ProcházkaUlberg has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 45% and 51%.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
