Durability: Ghosn finished 3× on record
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (0.4 vs 2.5 takedowns per 15) and a finishing gap (38% vs 78% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceGrappling: 2.5 takedowns / 15 vs 81% defense
| Attribute | Liddell | Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 34 | 29 |
| Height | 6′2″ | 6′3″ |
| Reach | 76″ | 74″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Ortiz averages 2.5 takedowns per 15 minutes; Liddell has stopped 81% of attempts on record.
Favors LiddellOrtiz has finished 78% of archived wins (6 KO/TKO, 1 submission), 2 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors OrtizLiddell has been finished 2 times in the archive and absorbs 2.7 strikes per minute.
Favors OrtizOrtiz has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Ortiz keeps landing takedowns at 2.5 per 15 minutes; if Liddell stays upright, the striking rates (3 vs 2.6 landed per minute) take over.
Three rounds only: a slow first round is expensive, and round three is often fought by whoever has the gas tank and the lead on the cards.
