Pace: 2.8 vs 1.1 landed / min
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (0.9 vs 4.5 takedowns per 15); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceGrappling: 4.5 takedowns / 15 vs 44% defense
| Attribute | Shamrock | Leopoldo |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 40 | 36 |
| Height | 6′1″ | 6′3″ |
| Reach | 72″ | Not published |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Leopoldo averages 4.5 takedowns per 15 minutes; Shamrock has stopped 44% of attempts on record.
Favors ShamrockShamrock has finished 100% of archived wins (1 KO/TKO, 5 submission), 2 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors ShamrockShamrock has been finished 2 times in the archive and absorbs 4.3 strikes per minute.
Favors LeopoldoShamrock has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Leopoldo keeps landing takedowns at 4.5 per 15 minutes; if Shamrock stays upright, the striking rates (1.5 vs 0.8 landed per minute) take over.
Three rounds only: a slow first round is expensive, and round three is often fought by whoever has the gas tank and the lead on the cards.
