Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (2.5 vs 0.7 takedowns per 15); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceDurability: Ortiz finished 3× on record
| Attribute | Ortiz | Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 24 |
| Height | 6′3″ | 5′11″ |
| Reach | 74″ | 75″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Ortiz has been finished 3 times in the archive and absorbs 2.9 strikes per minute.
Favors CoteOrtiz averages 2.5 takedowns per 15 minutes; Cote has stopped 43% of attempts on record.
Favors CoteOrtiz has 13 archived bouts to Cote’s 0: the deeper book of tape belongs to Ortiz.
Favors OrtizWatch the first takedown attempt from Ortiz: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Ortiz keeps landing takedowns at 2.5 per 15 minutes; if Cote stays upright, the striking rates (2.6 vs 2.8 landed per minute) take over.
Three rounds only: a slow first round is expensive, and round three is often fought by whoever has the gas tank and the lead on the cards.