Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Ortiz's wrestling (2.5 takedowns per 15) against Belfort's striking is the central exchange: Belfort stops 53% of attempts on record.
Supporting evidenceDurability: Ortiz finished 3× on record
| Attribute | Ortiz | Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 27 |
| Height | 6′3″ | 6′0″ |
| Reach | 74″ | 74″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Southpaw |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Ortiz has been finished 3 times in the archive and absorbs 2.9 strikes per minute.
Favors BelfortBelfort has finished 100% of archived wins (6 KO/TKO, 1 submission), 3 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors BelfortOrtiz averages 2.5 takedowns per 15 minutes; Belfort has stopped 53% of attempts on record.
Favors BelfortBelfort has 3 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Ortiz keeps landing takedowns at 2.5 per 15 minutes; if Belfort stays upright, the striking rates (2.6 vs 1.6 landed per minute) take over.
Three rounds only: a slow first round is expensive, and round three is often fought by whoever has the gas tank and the lead on the cards.