Pace: 4.2 vs 1.8 landed / min
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a volume gap (3 vs 1.2 strikes per minute) and a finishing gap (55% vs 100% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
The stored career numbers do not draw a sharp contrast between these two, which usually means the fight is decided by adjustments rather than a single dominant phase.
Supporting evidenceDurability: Horn finished 3× on record
| Attribute | Liddell | Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 35 | 29 |
| Height | 6′2″ | 6′1″ |
| Reach | 76″ | 74″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Horn has been finished 3 times in the archive and absorbs 2 strikes per minute.
Favors LiddellLiddell lands 3 significant strikes per minute to Horn’s 1.2: a real volume gap.
Favors LiddellHorn has finished 100% of archived wins (1 KO/TKO, 3 submission), 4 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors HornHorn has 4 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
The middle rounds belong to whoever sets the pace: Liddell averages 3 landed per minute to Horn at 1.2, so Horn needs the counters to land clean (39% accuracy on record).
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
