Distance: 2-inch reach difference
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (3 vs 1.1 takedowns per 15) and a volume gap (2.1 vs 4.3 strikes per minute) and a finishing gap (40% vs 75% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidencePace: 4.3 vs 2.1 landed / min
| Attribute | Evans | Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 28 |
| Height | 6′0″ | 6′1″ |
| Reach | 75″ | 75″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Bisping lands 4.3 significant strikes per minute to Evans’ 2.1: a real volume gap.
Favors BispingEvans averages 3 takedowns per 15 minutes; Bisping has stopped 63% of attempts on record.
Favors BispingBisping has finished 75% of archived wins (3 KO/TKO, 0 submission).
Favors BispingWatch the first takedown attempt from Evans: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Evans keeps landing takedowns at 3 per 15 minutes; if Bisping stays upright, the striking rates (2.1 vs 4.3 landed per minute) take over.
Three rounds only: a slow first round is expensive, and round three is often fought by whoever has the gas tank and the lead on the cards.
