Grappling: 4.5 takedowns / 15 vs 44% defense
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
The stored career numbers do not draw a sharp contrast between these two, which usually means the fight is decided by adjustments rather than a single dominant phase.
Supporting evidencePace: 2.9 vs 1.8 landed / min
| Attribute | Frye | Goodridge |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 30 |
| Height | 6′1″ | 6′3″ |
| Reach | Not published | Not published |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
2.9 and 1.8 significant strikes per minute: similar output, so accuracy (64% vs 56%) decides the exchanges.
Title-fight nerves are real: the first round often decides who is willing to lead.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 37% and 48%.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.