Grappling: 3 takedowns / 15 vs 63% defense
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (3 vs 0.4 takedowns per 15); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceDurability: Liddell finished 3× on record
| Attribute | Evans | Liddell |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 38 |
| Height | 6′0″ | 6′2″ |
| Reach | 75″ | 76″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Liddell has been finished 3 times in the archive and absorbs 2.7 strikes per minute; Evans has never been stopped in the stored record.
Favors EvansEvans averages 3 takedowns per 15 minutes; Liddell has stopped 81% of attempts on record.
Favors LiddellLiddell has 20 archived bouts to Evans’ 7: the deeper book of tape belongs to Liddell.
Favors LiddellWatch the first takedown attempt from Evans: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Evans keeps landing takedowns at 3 per 15 minutes; if Liddell stays upright, the striking rates (2.1 vs 3 landed per minute) take over.
Three rounds only: a slow first round is expensive, and round three is often fought by whoever has the gas tank and the lead on the cards.
