Pace: 4.4 vs 2.1 landed / min
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a finishing gap (75% vs 33% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
The stored career numbers do not draw a sharp contrast between these two, which usually means the fight is decided by adjustments rather than a single dominant phase.
Supporting evidenceDistance: 3-inch reach difference
| Attribute | Jackson | Jardine |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 33 |
| Height | 6′1″ | 6′2″ |
| Reach | 73″ | 76″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Jardine holds a 3-inch reach edge (76" to 73"); Jackson has to cross distance to land.
Favors JardineJackson has finished 75% of archived wins (3 KO/TKO, 0 submission), 2 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors JacksonJardine has been finished 2 times in the archive and absorbs 3 strikes per minute; Jackson has never been stopped in the stored record.
Favors JacksonJackson has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 55% and 59%.
Three rounds only: a slow first round is expensive, and round three is often fought by whoever has the gas tank and the lead on the cards.
