Durability: Hernandez finished 4× on record
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (1.5 vs 0 takedowns per 15) and a volume gap (3.8 vs 5.5 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidencePace: 5.5 vs 3.8 landed / min
| Attribute | Allen | Curtis |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 36 |
| Height | 6′2″ | 5′10″ |
| Reach | 75″ | 75.5″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | #4 Middleweight | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Curtis lands 5.5 significant strikes per minute to Allen’s 3.8: a real volume gap.
Favors CurtisAllen has finished 75% of archived wins (1 KO/TKO, 8 submission), 2 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors AllenAllen has been finished 2 times in the archive and absorbs 3.8 strikes per minute; Curtis has never been stopped in the stored record.
Favors CurtisAllen has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
The middle rounds belong to whoever sets the pace: Curtis averages 5.5 landed per minute to Allen at 3.8, so Allen needs the counters to land clean (52% accuracy on record).
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
