Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.


The evidence points to a volume gap (4.7 vs 6.4 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Andrade's wrestling (2.1 takedowns per 15) against Weili's striking is the central exchange: Weili stops 63% of attempts on record.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 2 vs 0 five-round fights
| Attribute | Weili | Andrade |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 27 |
| Height | 5′4″ | 5′1″ |
| Reach | 63″ | 62″ |
| Stance | Switch | Orthodox |
| Rank | #1 Women's Strawweight | #10 Women's Strawweight |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Andrade has 2 archived five-round fights to Weili’s 0; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors AndradeAndrade has been finished 3 times in the archive and absorbs 5.6 strikes per minute; Weili has never been stopped in the stored record.
Favors WeiliAndrade lands 6.4 significant strikes per minute to Weili’s 4.7: a real volume gap.
Favors AndradeWatch the first takedown attempt from Andrade: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Andrade keeps landing takedowns at 2.1 per 15 minutes; if Weili stays upright, the striking rates (4.7 vs 6.4 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.