Durability: Maynard finished 3× on record
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (3.4 vs 1.1 takedowns per 15) and a finishing gap (40% vs 75% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceDistance: 6-inch reach difference
| Attribute | Bader | Preux |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 31 | 31 |
| Height | 6′2″ | 6′3″ |
| Reach | 74″ | 80″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Southpaw |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Preux holds a 6-inch reach edge (80" to 74"); Bader has to cross distance to land, and opposite stances open the lead-side lane.
Favors PreuxBader has been finished 4 times in the archive and absorbs 1.4 strikes per minute; Preux has never been stopped in the stored record.
Favors PreuxBader has 2 archived five-round fights to Preux’s 0; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors BaderPreux has 2 first-round finishes in the last 4 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Bader keeps landing takedowns at 3.4 per 15 minutes; if Preux stays upright, the striking rates (2.8 vs 3 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
