Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.


The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Opposite stances create an open-side geometry from the first exchange — lead-foot position and the rear-hand lane matter more than usual.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 2 vs 0 five-round fights
| Attribute | Figueiredo | Benavidez |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 32 | 35 |
| Height | 5′5″ | 5′4″ |
| Reach | 68″ | 65″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Southpaw |
| Rank | #12 Bantamweight | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Benavidez has 2 archived five-round fights to Figueiredo’s 0; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors BenavidezFigueiredo holds a 3-inch reach edge (68" to 65"); Benavidez has to cross distance to land, and opposite stances open the lead-side lane.
Favors Figueiredo2.6 and 3.5 significant strikes per minute: similar output, so accuracy (53% vs 34%) decides the exchanges.
Who sets the range in round one: Figueiredo holds the longer reach, so early success for the shorter fighter usually requires feints and fast entries.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 49% and 61%.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.