Pace: 4.1 vs 3.8 landed / min
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (0.7 vs 3.9 takedowns per 15) and a finishing gap (100% vs 33% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceDistance: 6-inch reach difference
| Attribute | Jung | Bermudez |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 30 |
| Height | 5′7″ | 5′6″ |
| Reach | 72″ | 66″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Jung holds a 6-inch reach edge (72" to 66"); Bermudez has to cross distance to land.
Favors JungBermudez averages 3.9 takedowns per 15 minutes; Jung has stopped 72% of attempts on record.
Favors JungBermudez has been finished 3 times in the archive and absorbs 3.1 strikes per minute.
Favors JungWatch the first takedown attempt from Bermudez: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Bermudez keeps landing takedowns at 3.9 per 15 minutes; if Jung stays upright, the striking rates (3.9 vs 4.4 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
