Durability: Dunham finished 3× on record
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a volume gap (4.3 vs 2.1 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Leites's wrestling (2.1 takedowns per 15) against Bisping's striking is the central exchange: Bisping stops 63% of attempts on record.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 6 vs 1 five-round fights
| Attribute | Bisping | Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 36 | 33 |
| Height | 6′1″ | 6′1″ |
| Reach | 75″ | 78″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Bisping has 6 archived five-round fights to Leites’ 1; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors BispingBisping lands 4.3 significant strikes per minute to Leites’ 2.1: a real volume gap.
Favors BispingBisping has been finished 3 times in the archive and absorbs 2.7 strikes per minute; Leites has never been stopped in the stored record.
Favors LeitesWatch the first takedown attempt from Leites: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Leites keeps landing takedowns at 2.1 per 15 minutes; if Bisping stays upright, the striking rates (4.3 vs 2.1 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
