Pace: 7.6 vs 3.6 landed / min
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (3.1 vs 0.6 takedowns per 15) and a volume gap (3.5 vs 2.3 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceDurability: Brunson finished 4× on record
| Attribute | Brunson | Till |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 37 | 28 |
| Height | 6′1″ | 6′0″ |
| Reach | 77″ | 74″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Southpaw |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Brunson has been finished 4 times in the archive and absorbs 3 strikes per minute.
Favors TillBrunson averages 3.1 takedowns per 15 minutes; Till has stopped 69% of attempts on record.
Favors TillBrunson holds a 3-inch reach edge (77" to 74"); Till has to cross distance to land.
Favors BrunsonWatch the first takedown attempt from Brunson: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Brunson keeps landing takedowns at 3.1 per 15 minutes; if Till stays upright, the striking rates (3.5 vs 2.3 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
