Distance: 3-inch reach difference
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Burns's wrestling (2 takedowns per 15) against Malott's striking is the central exchange: Malott stops 57% of attempts on record.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 5 vs 0 five-round fights
| Attribute | Burns | Malott |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 39 | 34 |
| Height | 5′10″ | 6′1″ |
| Reach | 71″ | 73″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | #10 Welterweight |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Burns has 5 archived five-round fights to Malott’s 0; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors BurnsBurns has been finished 4 times in the archive and absorbs 3.7 strikes per minute.
Favors MalottBurns averages 2 takedowns per 15 minutes; Malott has stopped 57% of attempts on record.
Favors MalottWatch the first takedown attempt from Burns: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Burns keeps landing takedowns at 2 per 15 minutes; if Malott stays upright, the striking rates (3.2 vs 4 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
