Pace: 4.4 vs 2.8 landed / min
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a volume gap (4.3 vs 5.8 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 7 vs 0 five-round fights
| Attribute | Cannonier | Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 40 | 32 |
| Height | 5′11″ | 6′3″ |
| Reach | 77.5″ | 75″ |
| Stance | Switch | Orthodox |
| Rank | #11 Middleweight | #7 Middleweight |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Cannonier has 7 archived five-round fights to Rodrigues’ 0; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors CannonierCannonier has been finished 3 times in the archive and absorbs 4.4 strikes per minute.
Favors RodriguesCannonier holds a 3-inch reach edge (77.5" to 75"); Rodrigues has to cross distance to land, and opposite stances open the lead-side lane.
Favors CannonierRead the first two minutes for who is willing to lead and who is countering; the stored numbers do not flag a lopsided early-round finisher.
The middle rounds belong to whoever sets the pace: Rodrigues averages 5.8 landed per minute to Cannonier at 4.3, so Cannonier needs the counters to land clean (49% accuracy on record).
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
