Grappling: 3.3 takedowns / 15 vs 70% defense
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a volume gap (4.3 vs 6 strikes per minute) and a finishing gap (75% vs 33% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidencePace: 6 vs 4.3 landed / min
| Attribute | Cannonier | Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 38 | 31 |
| Height | 5′11″ | 6′1″ |
| Reach | 77.5″ | 76″ |
| Stance | Switch | Orthodox |
| Rank | #11 Middleweight | Middleweight Champion |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Strickland lands 6 significant strikes per minute to Cannonier’s 4.3: a real volume gap.
Favors StricklandCannonier has been finished 2 times in the archive and absorbs 4.4 strikes per minute.
Favors StricklandCannonier has finished 75% of archived wins (6 KO/TKO, 0 submission).
Favors CannonierRead the first two minutes for who is willing to lead and who is countering; the stored numbers do not flag a lopsided early-round finisher.
The middle rounds belong to whoever sets the pace: Strickland averages 6 landed per minute to Cannonier at 4.3, so Cannonier needs the counters to land clean (49% accuracy on record).
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
