Distance: 4-inch reach difference
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a volume gap (3.8 vs 5.1 strikes per minute) and a finishing gap (14% vs 67% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 7 vs 2 five-round fights
| Attribute | Cejudo | Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 31 | 32 |
| Height | 5′4″ | 5′6″ |
| Reach | 64″ | 67″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Dillashaw has 7 archived five-round fights to Cejudo’s 2; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors DillashawDillashaw holds a 3-inch reach edge (67" to 64"); Cejudo has to cross distance to land.
Favors DillashawDillashaw lands 5.1 significant strikes per minute to Cejudo’s 3.8: a real volume gap.
Favors DillashawWho sets the range in round one: Dillashaw holds the longer reach, so early success for the shorter fighter usually requires feints and fast entries.
The middle rounds belong to whoever sets the pace: Dillashaw averages 5.1 landed per minute to Cejudo at 3.8, so Cejudo needs the counters to land clean (47% accuracy on record).
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
