Distance: 6-inch reach difference
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Two grapplers by the numbers (3.3 and 2.2 takedowns per 15). Whoever wins the first clinch battle sets the terms for the rest.
Supporting evidenceDurability: Dariush finished 5× on record
| Attribute | Tsarukyan | Dariush |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 34 |
| Height | 5′7″ | 5′10″ |
| Reach | 72.5″ | 72″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Southpaw |
| Rank | #2 Lightweight | #15 Lightweight |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Dariush has been finished 5 times in the archive and absorbs 2.6 strikes per minute; Tsarukyan has never been stopped in the stored record.
Favors TsarukyanTsarukyan has 1 archived five-round fight to Dariush’s 0; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors TsarukyanTsarukyan averages 3.3 takedowns per 15 minutes; Dariush has stopped 82% of attempts on record.
Favors DariushWatch the first takedown attempt from Tsarukyan: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Tsarukyan keeps landing takedowns at 3.3 per 15 minutes; if Dariush stays upright, the striking rates (3.9 vs 3.7 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
