Distance: 8-inch reach difference
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Ridder's wrestling (2.4 takedowns per 15) against Allen's striking is the central exchange: Allen stops 57% of attempts on record.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 2 vs 1 five-round fights
| Attribute | Ridder | Allen |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 35 | 29 |
| Height | 6′4″ | 6′2″ |
| Reach | 78″ | 75″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Rank | #14 Light Heavyweight | #4 Middleweight |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Allen has 2 archived five-round fights to Ridder’s 1; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors AllenRidder holds a 3-inch reach edge (78" to 75"); Allen has to cross distance to land, and opposite stances open the lead-side lane.
Favors RidderRidder averages 2.4 takedowns per 15 minutes; Allen has stopped 57% of attempts on record.
Favors AllenWatch the first takedown attempt from Ridder: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Ridder keeps landing takedowns at 2.4 per 15 minutes; if Allen stays upright, the striking rates (3.2 vs 3.8 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
