Durability: Dariush finished 7× on record
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a finishing gap (56% vs 100% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Maddalena's output (5.3 per minute) against Prates's more selective 4.4: pace versus precision.
Supporting evidenceDistance: 5-inch reach difference
| Attribute | Maddalena | Prates |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 32 |
| Height | 5′11″ | 6′1″ |
| Reach | 73″ | 78″ |
| Stance | Switch | Switch |
| Rank | #4 Welterweight | #2 Welterweight |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Prates holds a 5-inch reach edge (78" to 73"); Maddalena has to cross distance to land.
Favors PratesPrates has finished 100% of archived wins (7 KO/TKO, 0 submission), 2 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors Prates5.3 and 4.4 significant strikes per minute: similar output, so accuracy (51% vs 54%) decides the exchanges.
Prates has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 61% and 47%.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
