Pace: 6.5 vs 4.2 landed / min
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Edgar's wrestling (2.3 takedowns per 15) against Swanson's striking is the central exchange: Swanson stops 63% of attempts on record.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 8 vs 1 five-round fights
| Attribute | Edgar | Swanson |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 33 | 31 |
| Height | 5′6″ | 5′8″ |
| Reach | 68″ | 70″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Edgar has 8 archived five-round fights to Swanson’s 1; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors EdgarEdgar averages 2.3 takedowns per 15 minutes; Swanson has stopped 63% of attempts on record.
Favors Swanson3.8 and 4.8 significant strikes per minute: similar output, so accuracy (40% vs 51%) decides the exchanges.
Watch the first takedown attempt from Edgar: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Edgar keeps landing takedowns at 2.3 per 15 minutes; if Swanson stays upright, the striking rates (3.8 vs 4.8 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
