Pace: 6.6 vs 3.5 landed / min
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (1.3 vs 3.6 takedowns per 15) and a volume gap (2.6 vs 4.1 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 8 vs 1 five-round fights
| Attribute | Edwards | Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 33 | 32 |
| Height | 6′2″ | 5′10″ |
| Reach | 74″ | 72″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Rank | #8 Welterweight | #6 Welterweight |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Edwards has 8 archived five-round fights to Brady’s 1; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors EdwardsBrady averages 3.6 takedowns per 15 minutes; Edwards has stopped 63% of attempts on record.
Favors EdwardsBrady lands 4.1 significant strikes per minute to Edwards’ 2.6: a real volume gap.
Favors BradyWatch the first takedown attempt from Brady: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Brady keeps landing takedowns at 3.6 per 15 minutes; if Edwards stays upright, the striking rates (2.6 vs 4.1 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
