Grappling: 4.3 takedowns / 15 vs 57% defense
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
The stored career numbers do not draw a sharp contrast between these two, which usually means the fight is decided by adjustments rather than a single dominant phase.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 4 vs 1 five-round fights
| Attribute | Emmett | Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 40 | 33 |
| Height | 5′6″ | 5′9″ |
| Reach | 70″ | 73.5″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | #3 Featherweight |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Emmett has 4 archived five-round fights to Murphy’s 1; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors EmmettMurphy holds a 4-inch reach edge (73.5" to 70"); Emmett has to cross distance to land.
Favors MurphyEmmett has been finished 2 times in the archive and absorbs 4.5 strikes per minute; Murphy has never been stopped in the stored record.
Favors MurphyWho sets the range in round one: Murphy holds the longer reach, so early success for the shorter fighter usually requires feints and fast entries.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 59% and 60%.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
