Grappling: 4.4 takedowns / 15 vs 52% defense
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Hooker's output (4.8 per minute) against Felder's more selective 3.7: pace versus precision.
Supporting evidenceDistance: 5-inch reach difference
| Attribute | Hooker | Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 35 |
| Height | 6′0″ | 5′11″ |
| Reach | 75″ | 70″ |
| Stance | Switch | Orthodox |
| Rank | #13 Lightweight | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Hooker holds a 5-inch reach edge (75" to 70"); Felder has to cross distance to land, and opposite stances open the lead-side lane.
Favors HookerHooker has finished 89% of archived wins (6 KO/TKO, 2 submission), 3 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors Hooker4.8 and 3.7 significant strikes per minute: similar output, so accuracy (48% vs 44%) decides the exchanges.
Hooker has 3 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 49% and 48%.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
