Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a volume gap (2.4 vs 3.8 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Florian's wrestling (2.2 takedowns per 15) against Gomi's striking is the central exchange: Gomi stops 63% of attempts on record.
Supporting evidenceDistance: 4-inch reach difference
| Attribute | Florian | Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 33 | 31 |
| Height | 5′10″ | 5′7″ |
| Reach | 74″ | 70″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Southpaw |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Florian holds a 4-inch reach edge (74" to 70"); Gomi has to cross distance to land.
Favors FlorianGomi lands 3.8 significant strikes per minute to Florian’s 2.4: a real volume gap.
Favors GomiFlorian has 13 archived bouts to Gomi’s 0: the deeper book of tape belongs to Florian.
Favors FlorianWatch the first takedown attempt from Florian: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Florian keeps landing takedowns at 2.2 per 15 minutes; if Gomi stays upright, the striking rates (2.4 vs 3.8 landed per minute) take over.
Three rounds only: a slow first round is expensive, and round three is often fought by whoever has the gas tank and the lead on the cards.