Danger zone: 100% finish rate
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (0.2 vs 2.8 takedowns per 15); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceDurability: Gonzaga finished 6× on record
| Attribute | Filipovic | Gonzaga |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 40 | 35 |
| Height | 6′2″ | 6′2″ |
| Reach | 73″ | 76″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Gonzaga has been finished 6 times in the archive and absorbs 2.9 strikes per minute.
Favors FilipovicGonzaga holds a 3-inch reach edge (76" to 73"); Filipovic has to cross distance to land, and opposite stances open the lead-side lane.
Favors GonzagaGonzaga averages 2.8 takedowns per 15 minutes; Filipovic has stopped 78% of attempts on record.
Favors FilipovicGonzaga has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Gonzaga keeps landing takedowns at 2.8 per 15 minutes; if Filipovic stays upright, the striking rates (2.1 vs 2.1 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
