Grappling: 4.2 takedowns / 15 vs 80% defense
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Teixeira's wrestling (2.1 takedowns per 15) against Gustafsson's striking is the central exchange: Gustafsson stops 83% of attempts on record.
Supporting evidenceDistance: 3-inch reach difference
| Attribute | Gustafsson | Teixeira |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 37 |
| Height | 6′5″ | 6′2″ |
| Reach | 79″ | 76″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Gustafsson holds a 3-inch reach edge (79" to 76"); Teixeira has to cross distance to land.
Favors GustafssonTeixeira averages 2.1 takedowns per 15 minutes; Gustafsson has stopped 83% of attempts on record.
Favors GustafssonGustafsson has been finished 2 times in the archive and absorbs 3.5 strikes per minute.
Favors TeixeiraWatch the first takedown attempt from Teixeira: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Teixeira keeps landing takedowns at 2.1 per 15 minutes; if Gustafsson stays upright, the striking rates (4 vs 3.7 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
