Durability: Lima finished 5× on record
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a volume gap (6.9 vs 4.7 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 10 vs 5 five-round fights
| Attribute | Holloway | Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 29 |
| Height | 5′11″ | 5′11″ |
| Reach | 69″ | 71″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | #4 Lightweight | #6 Featherweight |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Holloway has 10 archived five-round fights to Rodriguez’s 5; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors HollowayHolloway lands 6.9 significant strikes per minute to Rodriguez’s 4.7: a real volume gap.
Favors HollowayRodriguez holds a 2-inch reach edge (71" to 69"); Holloway has to cross distance to land.
Favors RodriguezRead the first two minutes for who is willing to lead and who is countering; the stored numbers do not flag a lopsided early-round finisher.
The middle rounds belong to whoever sets the pace: Holloway averages 6.9 landed per minute to Rodriguez at 4.7, so Rodriguez needs the counters to land clean (46% accuracy on record).
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
