Pace: 5.3 vs 3.7 landed / min
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a finishing gap (25% vs 83% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Opposite stances create an open-side geometry from the first exchange — lead-foot position and the rear-hand lane matter more than usual.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 9 vs 0 five-round fights
| Attribute | Holm | Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 41 | 31 |
| Height | 5′8″ | 5′6″ |
| Reach | 69″ | 66.5″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Holm has 9 archived five-round fights to Silva’s 0; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors HolmHolm holds a 3-inch reach edge (69" to 66.5"); Silva has to cross distance to land, and opposite stances open the lead-side lane.
Favors HolmHolm has been finished 2 times in the archive and absorbs 2.9 strikes per minute; Silva has never been stopped in the stored record.
Favors SilvaRead the first two minutes for who is willing to lead and who is countering; the stored numbers do not flag a lopsided early-round finisher.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 55% and 51%.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
