Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (0.5 vs 2 takedowns per 15); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceDurability: Mir finished 7× on record
| Attribute | Hunt | Mir |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 41 | 36 |
| Height | 5′10″ | 6′3″ |
| Reach | 72″ | 79″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Southpaw |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Mir has been finished 7 times in the archive and absorbs 3.8 strikes per minute.
Favors HuntMir holds a 7-inch reach edge (79" to 72"); Hunt has to cross distance to land, and opposite stances open the lead-side lane.
Favors MirMir has 7 archived five-round fights to Hunt’s 4; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors MirMir has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Mir keeps landing takedowns at 2 per 15 minutes; if Hunt stays upright, the striking rates (2.8 vs 2.2 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.