Durability: Swanson finished 5× on record
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a volume gap (6.3 vs 3.4 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 9 vs 1 five-round fights
| Attribute | Jedrzejczyk | Waterson-Gomez |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 32 | 33 |
| Height | 5′6″ | 5′3″ |
| Reach | 65″ | 62″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Jedrzejczyk has 9 archived five-round fights to Waterson-Gomez’s 1; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors JedrzejczykJedrzejczyk lands 6.3 significant strikes per minute to Waterson-Gomez’s 3.4: a real volume gap.
Favors JedrzejczykJedrzejczyk holds a 3-inch reach edge (65" to 62"); Waterson-Gomez has to cross distance to land.
Favors JedrzejczykWho sets the range in round one: Jedrzejczyk holds the longer reach, so early success for the shorter fighter usually requires feints and fast entries.
The middle rounds belong to whoever sets the pace: Jedrzejczyk averages 6.3 landed per minute to Waterson-Gomez at 3.4, so Waterson-Gomez needs the counters to land clean (46% accuracy on record).
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
