Pace: 3.2 vs 1.3 landed / min
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a volume gap (2.1 vs 3.4 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Two grapplers by the numbers (2.9 and 2.6 takedowns per 15). Whoever wins the first clinch battle sets the terms for the rest.
Supporting evidenceGrappling: 2.9 takedowns / 15 vs 60% defense
| Attribute | Kim | Hathaway |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 32 | 26 |
| Height | 6′2″ | 6′1″ |
| Reach | 76″ | 75″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Kim averages 2.9 takedowns per 15 minutes; Hathaway has stopped 60% of attempts on record.
Favors HathawayHathaway lands 3.4 significant strikes per minute to Kim’s 2.1: a real volume gap.
Favors HathawayKim has been finished 2 times in the archive and absorbs 1.9 strikes per minute; Hathaway has never been stopped in the stored record.
Favors HathawayWatch the first takedown attempt from Kim: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Kim keeps landing takedowns at 2.9 per 15 minutes; if Hathaway stays upright, the striking rates (2.1 vs 3.4 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
