Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Lauzon's wrestling (2.4 takedowns per 15) against Stephens's striking is the central exchange: Stephens stops 61% of attempts on record.
Supporting evidenceDanger zone: 2 recent R1 finishes
| Attribute | Lauzon | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 24 | 22 |
| Height | 5′10″ | 5′9″ |
| Reach | 71″ | 71″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Lauzon has finished 100% of archived wins (2 KO/TKO, 2 submission), 2 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors LauzonLauzon averages 2.4 takedowns per 15 minutes; Stephens has stopped 61% of attempts on record.
Favors StephensLauzon has been finished 1 time in the archive and absorbs 5.4 strikes per minute.
Favors StephensLauzon has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Lauzon keeps landing takedowns at 2.4 per 15 minutes; if Stephens stays upright, the striking rates (2.8 vs 3.1 landed per minute) take over.
Three rounds only: a slow first round is expensive, and round three is often fought by whoever has the gas tank and the lead on the cards.