Durability: Guida finished 8× on record
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a volume gap (6.4 vs 2.8 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Andrade's wrestling (2.1 takedowns per 15) against Lemos's striking is the central exchange: Lemos stops 63% of attempts on record.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 4 vs 0 five-round fights
| Attribute | Andrade | Lemos |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 34 |
| Height | 5′1″ | 5′4″ |
| Reach | 62″ | 65″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Southpaw |
| Rank | #10 Women's Strawweight | #12 Women's Strawweight |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Andrade has 4 archived five-round fights to Lemos’ 0; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors AndradeAndrade lands 6.4 significant strikes per minute to Lemos’ 2.8: a real volume gap.
Favors AndradeAndrade has been finished 5 times in the archive and absorbs 5.6 strikes per minute.
Favors LemosLemos has 3 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Andrade keeps landing takedowns at 2.1 per 15 minutes; if Lemos stays upright, the striking rates (6.4 vs 2.8 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
