Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (3.1 vs 0.9 takedowns per 15); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 3 vs 0 five-round fights
| Attribute | Jandiroba | Lemos |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 36 | 37 |
| Height | 5′3″ | 5′4″ |
| Reach | 64″ | 65″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Southpaw |
| Rank | #3 Women's Strawweight | #12 Women's Strawweight |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Lemos has 3 archived five-round fights to Jandiroba’s 0; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors LemosJandiroba averages 3.1 takedowns per 15 minutes; Lemos has stopped 63% of attempts on record.
Favors LemosLemos has been finished 2 times in the archive and absorbs 3.2 strikes per minute; Jandiroba has never been stopped in the stored record.
Favors JandirobaWatch the first takedown attempt from Jandiroba: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Jandiroba keeps landing takedowns at 3.1 per 15 minutes; if Lemos stays upright, the striking rates (2.3 vs 2.8 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.