Distance: 7-inch reach difference
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a finishing gap (86% vs 0% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
The stored career numbers do not draw a sharp contrast between these two, which usually means the fight is decided by adjustments rather than a single dominant phase.
Supporting evidenceDanger zone: 2 recent R1 finishes
| Attribute | Lewis | Abdurakhimov |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 31 | 35 |
| Height | 6′3″ | 6′3″ |
| Reach | 79″ | 76″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | #12 Heavyweight | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Lewis has finished 86% of archived wins (6 KO/TKO, 0 submission), 2 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors LewisLewis holds a 3-inch reach edge (79" to 76"); Abdurakhimov has to cross distance to land.
Favors LewisLewis has been finished 2 times in the archive and absorbs 2.8 strikes per minute.
Favors AbdurakhimovLewis has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 38% and 55%.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
