Distance: 3-inch reach difference
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a volume gap (4.5 vs 2.4 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
The stored career numbers do not draw a sharp contrast between these two, which usually means the fight is decided by adjustments rather than a single dominant phase.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 9 vs 4 five-round fights
| Attribute | Santos | Lewis |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 35 | 34 |
| Height | 6′4″ | 6′3″ |
| Reach | 77″ | 79″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | #12 Heavyweight |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Santos has 9 archived five-round fights to Lewis’ 4; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors SantosLewis has been finished 4 times in the archive and absorbs 2.8 strikes per minute.
Favors SantosSantos lands 4.5 significant strikes per minute to Lewis’ 2.4: a real volume gap.
Favors SantosRead the first two minutes for who is willing to lead and who is countering; the stored numbers do not flag a lopsided early-round finisher.
The middle rounds belong to whoever sets the pace: Santos averages 4.5 landed per minute to Lewis at 2.4, so Lewis needs the counters to land clean (48% accuracy on record).
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
