Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (0.5 vs 2.4 takedowns per 15) and a volume gap (2.4 vs 4.8 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 12 vs 0 five-round fights
| Attribute | Lewis | Teixeira |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 40 | 25 |
| Height | 6′3″ | 6′7″ |
| Reach | 79″ | 83″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | #12 Heavyweight | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Lewis has 12 archived five-round fights to Teixeira’s 0; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors LewisLewis has been finished 9 times in the archive and absorbs 2.8 strikes per minute.
Favors TeixeiraTeixeira lands 4.8 significant strikes per minute to Lewis’ 2.4: a real volume gap.
Favors TeixeiraTeixeira has 2 first-round finishes in the last 2 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Teixeira keeps landing takedowns at 2.4 per 15 minutes; if Lewis stays upright, the striking rates (2.4 vs 4.8 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.