Distance: 6-inch reach difference
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Silva's output (4.8 per minute) against Lopes's more selective 3.8: pace versus precision.
Supporting evidenceDistance: 4-inch reach difference
| Attribute | Lopes | Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 28 |
| Height | 5′11″ | 5′7″ |
| Reach | 72.5″ | 69″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | #2 Featherweight | #5 Featherweight |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Lopes holds a 4-inch reach edge (72.5" to 69"); Silva has to cross distance to land.
Favors LopesSilva has finished 83% of archived wins (4 KO/TKO, 1 submission), 2 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors Silva3.8 and 4.8 significant strikes per minute: similar output, so accuracy (47% vs 51%) decides the exchanges.
Lopes has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 46% and 53%.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
