Durability: Cote finished 4× on record
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (0.2 vs 1.8 takedowns per 15); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
The stored career numbers do not draw a sharp contrast between these two, which usually means the fight is decided by adjustments rather than a single dominant phase.
Supporting evidenceDanger zone: 3 recent R1 finishes
| Attribute | Thompson | MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 33 | 26 |
| Height | 6′0″ | 6′0″ |
| Reach | 75″ | 76″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Thompson has finished 71% of archived wins (5 KO/TKO, 0 submission), 3 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors ThompsonMacDonald has been finished 2 times in the archive and absorbs 2.8 strikes per minute; Thompson has never been stopped in the stored record.
Favors ThompsonMacDonald averages 1.8 takedowns per 15 minutes; Thompson has stopped 63% of attempts on record.
Favors ThompsonThompson has 3 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 54% and 62%.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
