Durability: Meerschaert finished 5× on record
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (0.2 vs 2.1 takedowns per 15) and a finishing gap (100% vs 36% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 3 vs 0 five-round fights
| Attribute | Prates | Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 31 | 37 |
| Height | 6′1″ | 6′3″ |
| Reach | 78″ | 80″ |
| Stance | Switch | Orthodox |
| Rank | #2 Welterweight | #15 Welterweight |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Magny has 3 archived five-round fights to Prates’ 0; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors MagnyMagny has been finished 8 times in the archive and absorbs 2.4 strikes per minute; Prates has never been stopped in the stored record.
Favors PratesMagny averages 2.1 takedowns per 15 minutes; Prates has stopped 77% of attempts on record.
Favors PratesWatch the first takedown attempt from Magny: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Magny keeps landing takedowns at 2.1 per 15 minutes; if Prates stays upright, the striking rates (4.4 vs 3.4 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
