Light Heavyweight · 3 roundsMain Card · Full packet
Matchup read
Stirling carries the higher measured striking pace in the available sample.
Key signals
Finishes—Blachowicz60%StirlingFinish rate · archived wins
Stirling carries the higher measured striking pace in the available sample.
The evidence points to a volume gap (5.6 vs 7.2 strikes per minute) and a finishing gap (100% vs 33% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceDanger zone: 4 recent R1 finishes
| Attribute | Medic | Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 33 | 39 |
| Height | 6′1″ | 6′1″ |
| Reach | 71″ | 74″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Southpaw |
| Rank | #12 Welterweight | #14 Welterweight |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Medic has finished 100% of archived wins (4 KO/TKO, 0 submission), 4 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors MedicRodriguez lands 7.2 significant strikes per minute to Medic’s 5.6: a real volume gap.
Favors RodriguezRodriguez holds a 3-inch reach edge (74" to 71"); Medic has to cross distance to land.
Favors RodriguezMedic has 4 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
The middle rounds belong to whoever sets the pace: Rodriguez averages 7.2 landed per minute to Medic at 5.6, so Medic needs the counters to land clean (60% accuracy on record).
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
Tybura has been stopped before in the archive in the available sample.
Todorović carries the higher measured striking pace; Valentin holds the reach edge.
Urbina brings the takedown pressure; Urbina holds the reach edge.
The two post similar measured striking pace in the available sample.
