Distance: 5-inch reach difference
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a volume gap (2.2 vs 5.9 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Mir's wrestling (2 takedowns per 15) against Duffee's striking is the central exchange: Duffee stops 90% of attempts on record.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 6 vs 0 five-round fights
| Attribute | Mir | Duffee |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 36 | 29 |
| Height | 6′3″ | 6′3″ |
| Reach | 79″ | 78″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Mir has 6 archived five-round fights to Duffee’s 0; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors MirMir has been finished 7 times in the archive and absorbs 3.8 strikes per minute.
Favors DuffeeDuffee lands 5.9 significant strikes per minute to Mir’s 2.2: a real volume gap.
Favors DuffeeDuffee has 3 first-round finishes in the last 4 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Mir keeps landing takedowns at 2 per 15 minutes; if Duffee stays upright, the striking rates (2.2 vs 5.9 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
