Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (2.3 vs 0.5 takedowns per 15) and a volume gap (3.8 vs 5.4 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 14 vs 0 five-round fights
| Attribute | Edgar | Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 38 | 33 |
| Height | 5′6″ | 5′6″ |
| Reach | 68″ | 65″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Edgar has 14 archived five-round fights to Munhoz’s 0; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors EdgarMunhoz lands 5.4 significant strikes per minute to Edgar’s 3.8: a real volume gap.
Favors MunhozEdgar holds a 3-inch reach edge (68" to 65"); Munhoz has to cross distance to land.
Favors EdgarMunhoz has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Edgar keeps landing takedowns at 2.3 per 15 minutes; if Munhoz stays upright, the striking rates (3.8 vs 5.4 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.